SAS Delphi results – Context Aware Machines

Context aware machines sense their environment and evaluate each interaction to continuously reshape their behaviour to the context. Image credit: Oracle – “Machine learning, #AI and context-aware technology bring depth to next-gen Identity #Security Operation Center:

Area 5 – Context Aware Machines

The drive towards autonomous systems requires machines to become context aware. Technology (sensors and AI) is supporting increasing levels of awareness. In the coming decades we can expect machines to increase their awareness to levels that may compare to the awareness of living beings, humans included. In certain areas, thanks to better sensory and processing capabilities, their awareness might even exceed human awareness.

Overall, the consensus is on machine reaching a high level of context awareness, in some situations exceeding the one achievable by humans.

Q 5.1

When will machine context awareness match that of an average human?

All experts indicated this goal is beyond 2050.

The matching can only happen when the richness of machine sensors becomes comparable to that of human sensors. This will take a very long time. Until then, machine context awareness will not match that of the average human. However, if we better define or qualify what we mean by this, our answers will change. For example, in very constrained situations for humans, machines may excel (human vs. machine with IR/thermal sensors in a dark cave).

Q 5.2

Will machines in the future develop their own context awareness without being pre-programmed to recognize the various components of their environment (e.g., will they autonomously become aware of the difference between a cat and a dog)?

Unanimous agreement of the expert that this will be achieved. It will require an acceleration in AI that we did not witness in the last decades but that we are starting to experience in these last few years.

Q 5.3

When a machine will be “surprised” by an unexpected context will it autonomously re-evaluate its model of the world (as opposed to today, when they are basically halting operations and transferring control to a human)?

Unanimous agreement of the expert that this will be achieved.

It will depend, obviously, on the kind of surprise the machine experiences. If it is only an alert in the functioning of the system, or an unexpected object or context in the field, there will be need for minor adjustments. In the case of a major disruption, it is probably safer in most, but immediate emergency situations (such as, for example, the oft repeated argument of a choice to be made by an autonomous car between several equally undesirable options), to let the system inform the relevant actants of the situation and shut down or put itself on hold.

This is already be explored via saliency detection and autonomous exploration algorithms that are sensitive to novelty or anomaly detection. What machines do upon being surprised is a matter of risk posture to which they are designed (halting operations, logging the surprise for later human assessment, focusing in on the surprise to collect more data and create new models of it, etc).

Q 5.4

Will machine context awareness eventually lead to machines changing their goals?

Unanimous agreement of the expert that this will be achieved. This is clearly raising crucial issues since it may no longer be possible to trust a machine to work and operate within a predefined framework.

This is happening already — a very simple low-level example being autonomous mobile robots that

encounter blockages along planned paths through an environment and have to re-plan to new sub-goals in continued pursuit of blocked goals. More sophisticated instances of this may be mere extrapolations of such simple examples in some cases.

Q 5.5

As result of context awareness a machine might alter its behaviour. Will this change of behaviour be considered as a reason for change in the context (i.e., will machines become self-aware of their relationship with the context?

Unanimous agreement of the expert that this will be achieved. This aspect, similarly to the previous one, will be raising crucial issues although of a different sort. Here a machine may operate to change her context, including those components in the context that have full autonomy and awareness, thus leading to potential fight and to the attempt to eliminate opposition.

Q 5.6

Following on 5.5, will machine endeavour to change the context as result of their context awareness?

Unanimous agreement of the expert that this will be achieved. Same considerations as for the previous question.

Q 5.7

Following on 5.5, will machines be able to see context as the result of the interplay of several components rather than seeing the context as a static situation?

Unanimous agreement of the expert that this will be achieved.

Q 5.8

As machines become better in context awareness, are we going to hand over to them our context awareness? Will AR provide/complement our context awareness leading to a symbiotic relation in the area of context awareness?

The experts split in their view, with a part foreseeing humans to hand over context awareness to machines, implicitly trusting them to be better in assessing a situation, other negating this outcome, considering that awareness will not be delegated to a machine. Notice, however, that in limited situations, such as pilots trusting the auto-pilot, this delegation of awareness to a machine already happens. Part of the experts see the future as an extension of what is already happening today, the others put a limit to what can be delegated to a machine.

About Roberto Saracco

Roberto Saracco fell in love with technology and its implications long time ago. His background is in math and computer science. Until April 2017 he led the EIT Digital Italian Node and then was head of the Industrial Doctoral School of EIT Digital up to September 2018. Previously, up to December 2011 he was the Director of the Telecom Italia Future Centre in Venice, looking at the interplay of technology evolution, economics and society. At the turn of the century he led a World Bank-Infodev project to stimulate entrepreneurship in Latin America. He is a senior member of IEEE where he leads the New Initiative Committee and co-chairs the Digital Reality Initiative. He is a member of the IEEE in 2050 Ad Hoc Committee. He teaches a Master course on Technology Forecasting and Market impact at the University of Trento. He has published over 100 papers in journals and magazines and 14 books.